September 26, 2000
Blue Ranger Cult: Don't Fear The Keepers
ENDGAME ... The Rangers have clinched last place. They've played
their final home game of the 2000 season. Raffy's already hit his
400th dinger. The Texas front office has even announced plans to
abandon the team’s red uniforms -- you know, the ones they’ve worn
finishing first four of the past six years -- to return to the old
blue design, which the team wore for its first 26 playoff-free
seasons. What's left to play for? For fantasy owners in keeper
leagues, it's time to scour the Rangers for anyone worth protecting.
There's surprisingly little to see.
Tearing it Up
YES, BUT ... Palmeiro wants to reach 500 career home runs, and
should remain a .290/35/110 guy for a couple of years, but his
current ESPN ranking (#6 AL 1B) is likely to fall; he is currently
ahead of names like Vaughn, Thome, Fullmer, and Konerko. Keep that
in mind. Gabe Kapler continues to look solid, and has actually
single-handedly out-performed Juan Gonzalez (.302/14/66/8 in 444 AB
compared to Juando’s .289/22/67/1 in 461 AB) but there are plenty of
these types of OFs in both universe and AL-only leagues. Unless
Kapler starts to run more -- unlikely under Johnny Oates -- he's not
protectable.
Slumping
CLOSING TIME ... The question has been on the table since June --
will John Wetteland remain the Texas closer? The answer is probably
"yes," because frankly none of the three main candidates to replace
him -- Francisco Cordero, Tim Crabtree and Jeff Zimmerman -- have
shown they can handle the job. Mike Venafro is just a situational
lefty and Darwin Cubillan, acquired for Esteban Loiaza, makes Loiaza
look positively consistent. Wetteland is probably worth protecting
in leagues where saves are at a premium, but prepare for lots of
nervous ninth innings, a la Rod Beck circa 1998.
At the Plate
LOTS OF QUESTIONS ... Either Rusty Greer or Ricky Ledee will be
dealt for pitching come Spring. If Greer stays, lingering plantar
fascitis could limit his effectiveness; if it's Ledee, he still
needs to overcome "Ruben Rivera disease" as an over-hyped former
Yankee uber-prospect. Royce Clayton has fallen so far off the map
that ESPN's Player Rater ranks him behind TWO Minnesota shortstops,
Denny Hocking and Cristian Guzman, and barely ahead of legendary
ex-Ranger Benji Gil. Mike Lamb may well start 2001 in Oklahoma City.
If you're looking at Luis Alicea or Frank Catalanotto, seek help.
Probable Starters
Sept. 26, R. Glynn @ SEA
Sept. 27, D. Davis @ SEA
Sept. 28, R. Helling @ SEA
Sept. 29, D. Oliver @ OAK
Sept. 30, K. Rogers @ OAK
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From the Rubber
ROTATION SITUATION ... The Metroplex loves Little Ricky Helling, but
the bulldog righty is streaky to an extreme. With the excessive
pitch counts he's run up the last three years, at 30 Helling is an
arm injury waiting to happen. Kenny Rogers is 36 and on the downside
of a nice career. Ryan Glynn has shown flashes of promise, but has a
workmanlike Brian Moehler-type ceiling. The most exciting Texas
starter in 2001 may be 25-year-old Doug Davis, who is developing
into a younger, left-handed version of Helling. He’s not a "keeper"
but grab him next Spring and you may stumble into 17 wins.
On the Mend
I-ROD AND RUBEN ... The best acquisitions the Rangers could make
this off-season would be a healthy Pudge Rodriguez -- still far and
away The Best Catcher In The World -- and Ruben Mateo. If you own
Pudge and are wondering if you should protect him, you don't
understand the game. Mateo is another matter; he has Andruw Jones
talent, but looks like he may be one of those players who hops on
and off the DL his entire career. And what about Justin Thompson?
Forget it -- the Rangers aren't counting on him ever pitching again,
and neither should you. He’ll be 28 next year and is 36-43 for his
career.
Recent Call-ups
DOWN THE ROAD ... The Ruben Sierra Experiment should come to an end
this winter with a quiet unconditional release. Righty Jonathan
Johnson has finally started to fulfill some of his first-round
promise, and might even get a ninth-inning look next year if
Wetteland falters. However, the next wave of Ranger stars won't
arrive until 2002 (1B Carlos Pena, 2B Jason Romano, SS Mike Young),
2003 (OF Kevin Mench, DH Travis Hafner, SP Jovanny Cedeno) and even
2004 (C Scott Heard). If you can grab Pena in a late round next
year, hang on to him -- think Carlos Delgado with a better glove.